Forecast · House
Who will control the House?
435 seats. 218 for a majority. 100,000 simulated Election Days.
CHANCE OF CONTROL
>99%Democratic control
<1%Republican control
Each dot represents one possible Election Day.
Projected seats
Expected Democratic seats253.2Expected Republican seats181.880% Democratic range233–27580% Republican range160–202
Democratic seats218 seats for controlRepublican seats
Range of outcomes
Possible seat totals
Outcomes with at least a 1% chance. Each row totals 435 seats.
D 231
1%R 204
D 232
1%R 203
D 233
1%R 202
D 234
1%R 201
D 235
1%R 200
D 236
2%R 199
D 237
2%R 198
D 238
2%R 197
D 239
2%R 196
D 240
2%R 195
D 241
2%R 194
D 242
2%R 193
D 243
2%R 192
D 244
2%R 191
D 245
2%R 190
D 246
2%R 189
D 247
2%R 188
D 248
3%R 187
D 249
2%R 186
D 250
2%R 185
D 251
2%R 184
D 252
2%R 183
D 253
2%R 182
D 254
2%R 181
D 255
2%R 180
D 256
2%R 179
D 257
2%R 178
D 258
2%R 177
D 259
2%R 176
D 260
2%R 175
D 261
2%R 174
D 262
2%R 173
D 263
2%R 172
D 264
2%R 171
D 265
2%R 170
D 266
2%R 169
D 267
2%R 168
D 268
1%R 167
D 269
1%R 166
D 270
1%R 165
D 271
1%R 164
D 272
1%R 163
D 273
1%R 162
D 274
1%R 161
Forecast historyHow has the House forecast changed?View history
Explore the races
Every House district
Closest races first. Select a district to explore its forecast.
| District | Rating | Projected margin | Democratic / Republican win chance | 80% margin range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-02Arizona 2nd districtProjected Democratic flip | Even | 50%50% | R+7.9 to D+7.9 | |
| PA-01Pennsylvania 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+0.2 | 51%49% | R+7.8 to D+8.1 | |
| FL-07Florida 7th district | R+0.3 | 48%52% | R+8.2 to D+7.6 | |
| WI-01Wisconsin 1st district | R+0.4 | 47%53% | R+8.3 to D+7.5 | |
| FL-13Florida 13th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+0.5 | 53%47% | R+7.4 to D+8.4 | |
| MI-10Michigan 10th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+0.5 | 53%47% | R+7.4 to D+8.4 | |
| MI-04Michigan 4th district | R+0.6 | 46%54% | R+8.5 to D+7.3 | |
| MN-01Minnesota 1st district | R+0.6 | 46%54% | R+8.5 to D+7.2 | |
| AK-ALAlaska at-largeProjected Democratic flip | D+0.7 | 54%46% | R+7.2 to D+8.6 | |
| MO-02Missouri 2nd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+0.7 | 54%46% | R+7.2 to D+8.5 | |
| ME-02Maine 2nd districtProjected Republican flip | R+1.0 | 44%56% | R+8.8 to D+7.0 | |
| SC-01South Carolina 1st district | R+1.0 | 44%56% | R+8.8 to D+6.9 | |
| OH-15Ohio 15th district | R+1.4 | 41%59% | R+9.4 to D+6.5 | |
| AR-02Arkansas 2nd district | R+1.5 | 40%60% | R+9.4 to D+6.4 | |
| CO-05Colorado 5th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+1.6 | 60%40% | R+6.3 to D+9.5 | |
| IA-02Iowa 2nd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+1.6 | 61%39% | R+6.3 to D+9.6 | |
| CO-03Colorado 3rd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+1.7 | 61%39% | R+6.2 to D+9.6 | |
| VA-01Virginia 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+1.7 | 61%39% | R+6.2 to D+9.6 | |
| FL-15Florida 15th district | R+1.8 | 39%61% | R+9.7 to D+6.2 | |
| NE-01Nebraska 1st district | R+1.9 | 38%62% | R+9.8 to D+6.0 | |
| FL-27Florida 27th district | R+2.0 | 37%63% | R+10.0 to D+5.9 | |
| MT-01Montana 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+2.1 | 63%37% | R+5.8 to D+10.0 | |
| OH-10Ohio 10th district | R+2.3 | 36%64% | R+10.2 to D+5.6 | |
| CO-08Colorado 8th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+2.4 | 65%35% | R+5.6 to D+10.3 | |
| NV-02Nevada 2nd district | R+2.4 | 35%65% | R+10.3 to D+5.6 | |
| GA-07Georgia 7th district | R+2.5 | 34%66% | R+10.4 to D+5.5 | |
| NY-02New York 2nd district | R+2.5 | 34%66% | R+10.3 to D+5.4 | |
| FL-04Florida 4th district | R+2.6 | 33%67% | R+10.5 to D+5.3 | |
| VA-05Virginia 5th district | R+2.8 | 32%68% | R+10.6 to D+5.1 | |
| NY-17New York 17th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+2.9 | 68%32% | R+5.0 to D+10.8 | |
| NC-14North Carolina 14th district | R+2.9 | 32%68% | R+10.8 to D+4.9 | |
| PA-10Pennsylvania 10th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+3.0 | 69%31% | R+4.8 to D+10.8 | |
| KY-06Kentucky 6th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+3.0 | 69%31% | R+4.8 to D+10.9 | |
| NY-01New York 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+3.1 | 69%31% | R+4.8 to D+10.9 | |
| NY-21New York 21st district | R+3.2 | 30%70% | R+11.1 to D+4.7 | |
| IN-05Indiana 5th district | R+3.4 | 29%71% | R+11.3 to D+4.6 | |
| NC-13North Carolina 13th district | R+3.6 | 28%72% | R+11.5 to D+4.3 | |
| PA-08Pennsylvania 8th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+3.6 | 72%28% | R+4.2 to D+11.5 | |
| TX-15Texas 15th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+3.7 | 73%27% | R+4.1 to D+11.7 | |
| MN-08Minnesota 8th district | R+3.8 | 27%73% | R+11.7 to D+4.1 | |
| NC-06North Carolina 6th district | R+3.9 | 27%73% | R+11.7 to D+4.0 | |
| FL-16Florida 16th district | R+4.0 | 26%74% | R+11.9 to D+3.9 | |
| AZ-08Arizona 8th district | R+4.0 | 26%74% | R+11.9 to D+3.9 | |
| CA-48California 48th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+4.1 | 74%26% | R+3.8 to D+12.0 | |
| WA-05Washington 5th district | R+4.1 | 25%75% | R+12.0 to D+3.8 | |
| AL-02Alabama 2nd district | D+4.2 | 75%25% | R+3.8 to D+12.0 | |
| OH-09Ohio 9th district | D+4.3 | 76%24% | R+3.6 to D+12.1 | |
| KS-02Kansas 2nd district | R+4.6 | 23%77% | R+12.5 to D+3.3 | |
| GA-11Georgia 11th district | R+4.6 | 23%77% | R+12.6 to D+3.2 | |
| NC-09North Carolina 9th district | R+4.8 | 22%78% | R+12.7 to D+3.1 | |
| WI-03Wisconsin 3rd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+4.8 | 78%22% | R+3.1 to D+12.7 | |
| IA-01Iowa 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+4.9 | 78%22% | R+3.1 to D+12.7 | |
| VA-02Virginia 2nd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+5.2 | 80%20% | R+2.7 to D+13.0 | |
| CO-04Colorado 4th district | R+5.2 | 20%80% | R+13.2 to D+2.7 | |
| CA-40California 40th district | D+5.3 | 80%20% | R+2.6 to D+13.1 | |
| UT-02Utah 2nd district | R+5.3 | 19%81% | R+13.2 to D+2.6 | |
| AZ-01Arizona 1st districtProjected Democratic flip | D+5.3 | 81%19% | R+2.6 to D+13.2 | |
| WI-08Wisconsin 8th district | R+5.4 | 19%81% | R+13.3 to D+2.5 | |
| NC-11North Carolina 11th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+5.5 | 81%19% | R+2.4 to D+13.3 | |
| MI-07Michigan 7th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+5.5 | 81%19% | R+2.4 to D+13.4 | |
| TX-23Texas 23rd district | R+5.6 | 18%82% | R+13.5 to D+2.2 | |
| OH-07Ohio 7th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+5.7 | 82%18% | R+2.2 to D+13.6 | |
| TN-05Tennessee 5th district | R+5.8 | 17%83% | R+13.7 to D+2.1 | |
| SC-02South Carolina 2nd district | R+6.0 | 17%83% | R+13.9 to D+1.9 | |
| NC-07North Carolina 7th district | R+6.1 | 16%84% | R+14.0 to D+1.8 | |
| PA-07Pennsylvania 7th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+6.1 | 84%16% | R+1.7 to D+14.0 | |
| GA-12Georgia 12th district | R+6.3 | 16%84% | R+14.1 to D+1.6 | |
| MD-01Maryland 1st district | R+6.3 | 15%85% | R+14.2 to D+1.6 | |
| AZ-06Arizona 6th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+6.3 | 85%15% | R+1.6 to D+14.2 | |
| FL-22Florida 22nd district | D+6.5 | 85%15% | R+1.4 to D+14.3 | |
| NJ-07New Jersey 7th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+6.5 | 85%15% | R+1.5 to D+14.4 | |
| OK-05Oklahoma 5th district | R+6.5 | 15%85% | R+14.4 to D+1.4 | |
| TX-24Texas 24th district | R+6.5 | 15%85% | R+14.4 to D+1.5 | |
| NC-03North Carolina 3rd district | R+6.6 | 14%86% | R+14.5 to D+1.3 | |
| IA-03Iowa 3rd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+6.7 | 86%14% | R+1.3 to D+14.5 | |
| NC-01North Carolina 1st district | D+7.0 | 87%13% | R+0.9 to D+14.8 | |
| CA-23California 23rd district | R+7.1 | 13%87% | R+15.1 to D+0.8 | |
| WI-06Wisconsin 6th district | R+7.1 | 12%88% | R+15.0 to D+0.8 | |
| MN-06Minnesota 6th district | R+7.3 | 12%88% | R+15.3 to D+0.5 | |
| FL-25Florida 25th district | D+7.4 | 88%12% | R+0.6 to D+15.3 | |
| FL-09Florida 9th district | D+7.5 | 89%11% | R+0.4 to D+15.4 | |
| TX-03Texas 3rd district | R+7.5 | 11%89% | R+15.4 to D+0.4 | |
| NC-05North Carolina 5th district | R+7.5 | 11%89% | R+15.4 to D+0.4 | |
| CA-03California 3rd district | D+7.6 | 89%11% | R+0.3 to D+15.5 | |
| TN-07Tennessee 7th district | R+7.6 | 11%89% | R+15.5 to D+0.3 | |
| CA-05California 5th district | R+7.7 | 10%90% | R+15.6 to D+0.2 | |
| NJ-02New Jersey 2nd district | R+7.8 | 10%90% | R+15.7 to D+0.1 | |
| NM-02New Mexico 2nd district | D+7.9 | 90%10% | Even to D+15.8 | |
| FL-11Florida 11th district | R+8.1 | 10%90% | R+15.9 to R+0.2 | |
| GA-01Georgia 1st district | R+8.2 | 9%91% | R+16.1 to R+0.3 | |
| FL-02Florida 2nd district | R+8.5 | 8%92% | R+16.3 to R+0.6 | |
| AZ-05Arizona 5th district | R+8.7 | 8%92% | R+16.5 to R+0.7 | |
| SC-07South Carolina 7th district | R+8.7 | 8%92% | R+16.5 to R+0.8 | |
| CA-22California 22nd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+9.0 | 93%7% | D+1.1 to D+16.8 | |
| OH-01Ohio 1st district | D+9.1 | 93%7% | D+1.2 to D+16.9 | |
| MI-01Michigan 1st district | R+9.2 | 7%93% | R+17.1 to R+1.3 | |
| FL-05Florida 5th district | R+9.5 | 6%94% | R+17.4 to R+1.5 | |
| NY-11New York 11th district | R+9.8 | 5%95% | R+17.8 to R+2.0 | |
| TX-22Texas 22nd district | R+9.9 | 5%95% | R+17.8 to R+2.0 | |
| NC-08North Carolina 8th district | R+10.0 | 5%95% | R+17.9 to R+2.2 | |
| NE-02Nebraska 2nd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+10.0 | 95%5% | D+2.1 to D+17.9 | |
| OH-14Ohio 14th district | R+10.1 | 5%95% | R+17.9 to R+2.1 | |
| WA-04Washington 4th district | R+10.1 | 5%95% | R+18.0 to R+2.2 | |
| NC-10North Carolina 10th district | R+10.2 | 5%95% | R+18.0 to R+2.3 | |
| FL-14Florida 14th district | D+10.2 | 95%5% | D+2.4 to D+18.1 | |
| TX-10Texas 10th district | R+10.2 | 5%95% | R+18.1 to R+2.3 | |
| TX-34Texas 34th district | D+10.3 | 95%5% | D+2.3 to D+18.2 | |
| FL-03Florida 3rd district | R+10.3 | 5%95% | R+18.2 to R+2.4 | |
| NH-01New Hampshire 1st district | D+10.5 | 96%4% | D+2.6 to D+18.4 | |
| NV-03Nevada 3rd district | D+10.5 | 96%4% | D+2.6 to D+18.4 | |
| CA-41California 41st district | D+10.5 | 96%4% | D+2.6 to D+18.4 | |
| CT-05Connecticut 5th district | D+10.6 | 96%4% | D+2.7 to D+18.5 | |
| FL-21Florida 21st district | R+10.7 | 4%96% | R+18.5 to R+2.7 | |
| SC-04South Carolina 4th district | R+11.0 | 4%96% | R+18.8 to R+3.1 | |
| FL-08Florida 8th district | R+11.0 | 4%96% | R+18.9 to R+3.1 | |
| FL-28Florida 28th district | R+11.1 | 4%96% | R+19.0 to R+3.2 | |
| NY-24New York 24th district | R+11.2 | 4%96% | R+19.1 to R+3.3 | |
| PA-11Pennsylvania 11th district | R+11.3 | 3%97% | R+19.2 to R+3.5 | |
| WA-03Washington 3rd district | D+11.5 | 97%3% | D+3.6 to D+19.4 | |
| TX-38Texas 38th district | R+11.6 | 3%97% | R+19.5 to R+3.6 | |
| CA-13California 13th district | D+11.7 | 97%3% | D+3.8 to D+19.6 | |
| PA-16Pennsylvania 16th district | R+11.8 | 3%97% | R+19.8 to R+3.9 | |
| WI-07Wisconsin 7th district | R+11.9 | 3%97% | R+19.8 to R+4.0 | |
| TX-02Texas 2nd district | R+12.0 | 3%97% | R+19.9 to R+4.1 | |
| IL-16Illinois 16th district | R+12.1 | 2%98% | R+20.0 to R+4.2 | |
| TX-31Texas 31st district | R+12.2 | 3%97% | R+20.1 to R+4.2 | |
| OK-01Oklahoma 1st district | R+12.3 | 2%98% | R+20.2 to R+4.4 | |
| TX-09Texas 9th district | D+12.4 | 98%2% | D+4.5 to D+20.3 | |
| SC-05South Carolina 5th district | R+12.4 | 2%98% | R+20.3 to R+4.5 | |
| TX-21Texas 21st district | R+12.6 | 2%98% | R+20.5 to R+4.7 | |
| CA-01California 1st district | R+12.6 | 2%98% | R+20.5 to R+4.8 | |
| TX-26Texas 26th district | R+12.7 | 2%98% | R+20.6 to R+4.8 | |
| TX-35Texas 35th district | D+12.7 | 98%2% | D+4.8 to D+20.6 | |
| FL-17Florida 17th district | R+12.7 | 2%98% | R+20.7 to R+4.8 | |
| GA-10Georgia 10th district | R+12.8 | 2%98% | R+20.7 to R+5.0 | |
| UT-04Utah 4th district | R+13.2 | 2%98% | R+21.1 to R+5.2 | |
| TX-12Texas 12th district | R+13.2 | 2%98% | R+21.1 to R+5.3 | |
| KS-04Kansas 4th district | R+13.3 | 2%98% | R+21.2 to R+5.4 | |
| OH-08Ohio 8th district | R+13.3 | 2%98% | R+21.2 to R+5.4 | |
| CA-45California 45th district | D+13.7 | 99%1% | D+5.7 to D+21.6 | |
| NY-03New York 3rd district | D+14.2 | 99%1% | D+6.4 to D+22.1 | |
| NY-19New York 19th district | D+14.3 | 99%1% | D+6.4 to D+22.2 | |
| WI-05Wisconsin 5th district | R+14.4 | <1%>99% | R+22.4 to R+6.5 | |
| IN-02Indiana 2nd district | R+14.9 | <1%>99% | R+22.8 to R+7.0 | |
| OH-13Ohio 13th district | D+15.0 | >99%<1% | D+7.1 to D+22.9 | |
| MI-08Michigan 8th district | D+15.2 | >99%<1% | D+7.2 to D+23.2 | |
| MO-03Missouri 3rd district | R+15.2 | <1%>99% | R+23.1 to R+7.3 | |
| FL-06Florida 6th district | R+15.3 | <1%>99% | R+23.3 to R+7.5 | |
| TX-05Texas 5th district | R+15.4 | <1%>99% | R+23.3 to R+7.5 | |
| AR-03Arkansas 3rd district | R+15.8 | <1%>99% | R+23.7 to R+7.9 | |
| NY-04New York 4th district | D+15.9 | >99%<1% | D+7.9 to D+23.8 | |
| IN-01Indiana 1st district | D+15.9 | >99%<1% | D+8.1 to D+23.8 | |
| CA-27California 27th district | D+16.3 | >99%<1% | D+8.4 to D+24.2 | |
| NV-01Nevada 1st district | D+16.4 | >99%<1% | D+8.4 to D+24.2 | |
| AZ-09Arizona 9th district | R+16.4 | <1%>99% | R+24.3 to R+8.5 | |
| OR-02Oregon 2nd district | R+16.4 | <1%>99% | R+24.3 to R+8.5 | |
| TX-06Texas 6th district | R+16.5 | <1%>99% | R+24.4 to R+8.6 | |
| FL-18Florida 18th district | R+16.5 | <1%>99% | R+24.4 to R+8.6 | |
| MI-05Michigan 5th district | R+16.5 | <1%>99% | R+24.5 to R+8.6 | |
| TX-27Texas 27th district | R+16.5 | <1%>99% | R+24.5 to R+8.7 | |
| NY-23New York 23rd district | R+16.9 | <1%>99% | R+24.8 to R+9.0 | |
| VA-07Virginia 7th district | D+17.0 | >99%<1% | D+9.1 to D+24.8 | |
| CA-47California 47th district | D+17.0 | >99%<1% | D+9.1 to D+24.9 | |
| NV-04Nevada 4th district | D+17.0 | >99%<1% | D+9.2 to D+24.9 | |
| CA-09California 9th district | D+17.2 | >99%<1% | D+9.3 to D+25.1 | |
| AL-05Alabama 5th district | R+17.2 | <1%>99% | R+25.1 to R+9.2 | |
| NH-02New Hampshire 2nd district | D+17.2 | >99%<1% | D+9.3 to D+25.1 | |
| MS-03Mississippi 3rd district | R+17.3 | <1%>99% | R+25.2 to R+9.4 | |
| TN-09Tennessee 9th district | D+17.5 | >99%<1% | D+9.6 to D+25.4 | |
| FL-23Florida 23rd district | D+17.5 | >99%<1% | D+9.6 to D+25.5 | |
| TX-17Texas 17th district | R+17.5 | <1%>99% | R+25.4 to R+9.7 | |
| RI-02Rhode Island 2nd district | D+17.6 | >99%<1% | D+9.6 to D+25.5 | |
| IN-03Indiana 3rd district | R+17.6 | <1%>99% | R+25.5 to R+9.7 | |
| NJ-09New Jersey 9th district | D+17.6 | >99%<1% | D+9.7 to D+25.5 | |
| OR-05Oregon 5th district | D+17.7 | >99%<1% | D+9.8 to D+25.6 | |
| ID-02Idaho 2nd district | R+17.7 | <1%>99% | R+25.6 to R+9.8 | |
| GA-14Georgia 14th district | R+17.8 | <1%>99% | R+25.6 to R+9.8 | |
| IN-09Indiana 9th district | R+17.9 | <1%>99% | R+25.8 to R+10.0 | |
| CA-20California 20th district | R+18.0 | <1%>99% | R+25.9 to R+10.1 | |
| NY-18New York 18th district | D+18.3 | >99%<1% | D+10.4 to D+26.2 | |
| IL-17Illinois 17th district | D+18.3 | >99%<1% | D+10.4 to D+26.2 | |
| FL-19Florida 19th district | R+18.4 | <1%>99% | R+26.3 to R+10.5 | |
| MI-02Michigan 2nd district | R+18.4 | <1%>99% | R+26.3 to R+10.5 | |
| NJ-04New Jersey 4th district | R+18.5 | <1%>99% | R+26.4 to R+10.6 | |
| PA-17Pennsylvania 17th district | D+18.8 | >99%<1% | D+10.9 to D+26.7 | |
| IA-04Iowa 4th district | R+19.0 | <1%>99% | R+26.9 to R+11.1 | |
| SD-ALSouth Dakota at-large | R+19.0 | <1%>99% | R+26.9 to R+11.1 | |
| CA-21California 21st district | D+19.0 | >99%<1% | D+11.1 to D+27.0 | |
| GA-03Georgia 3rd district | R+19.0 | <1%>99% | R+26.9 to R+11.2 | |
| TX-28Texas 28th district | D+19.1 | >99%<1% | D+11.2 to D+27.0 | |
| IN-04Indiana 4th district | R+19.1 | <1%>99% | R+27.0 to R+11.3 | |
| OH-05Ohio 5th district | R+19.2 | <1%>99% | R+27.1 to R+11.3 | |
| WA-08Washington 8th district | D+19.2 | >99%<1% | D+11.3 to D+27.1 | |
| MN-02Minnesota 2nd district | D+19.2 | >99%<1% | D+11.4 to D+27.1 | |
| CA-49California 49th district | D+19.4 | >99%<1% | D+11.5 to D+27.3 | |
| IL-06Illinois 6th district | D+19.4 | >99%<1% | D+11.5 to D+27.3 | |
| AZ-04Arizona 4th district | D+19.4 | >99%<1% | D+11.5 to D+27.3 | |
| MD-06Maryland 6th district | D+19.5 | >99%<1% | D+11.6 to D+27.4 | |
| CA-25California 25th district | D+20.1 | >99%<1% | D+12.2 to D+28.0 | |
| IL-14Illinois 14th district | D+20.1 | >99%<1% | D+12.2 to D+28.0 | |
| NJ-05New Jersey 5th district | D+20.1 | >99%<1% | D+12.2 to D+28.0 | |
| KS-03Kansas 3rd district | D+20.1 | >99%<1% | D+12.2 to D+28.0 | |
| PA-14Pennsylvania 14th district | R+20.2 | <1%>99% | R+28.1 to R+12.3 | |
| VA-10Virginia 10th district | D+20.2 | >99%<1% | D+12.3 to D+28.1 | |
| MI-03Michigan 3rd district | D+20.4 | >99%<1% | D+12.4 to D+28.3 | |
| NY-22New York 22nd district | D+20.4 | >99%<1% | D+12.5 to D+28.4 | |
| FL-01Florida 1st district | R+20.4 | <1%>99% | R+28.3 to R+12.5 | |
| NM-03New Mexico 3rd district | D+20.4 | >99%<1% | D+12.4 to D+28.3 | |
| TX-04Texas 4th district | R+20.6 | <1%>99% | R+28.6 to R+12.7 | |
| IN-06Indiana 6th district | R+20.8 | <1%>99% | R+28.6 to R+12.9 | |
| KS-01Kansas 1st district | R+20.8 | <1%>99% | R+28.7 to R+12.9 | |
| OH-06Ohio 6th district | R+20.8 | <1%>99% | R+28.7 to R+12.9 | |
| UT-03Utah 3rd district | R+20.9 | <1%>99% | R+28.8 to R+13.0 | |
| GA-08Georgia 8th district | R+21.0 | <1%>99% | R+28.9 to R+13.1 | |
| NJ-03New Jersey 3rd district | D+21.1 | >99%<1% | D+13.1 to D+29.0 | |
| GA-02Georgia 2nd district | D+21.2 | >99%<1% | D+13.5 to D+29.2 | |
| OR-04Oregon 4th district | D+21.2 | >99%<1% | D+13.4 to D+29.1 | |
| MN-07Minnesota 7th district | R+21.3 | <1%>99% | R+29.2 to R+13.4 | |
| TN-02Tennessee 2nd district | R+21.4 | <1%>99% | R+29.2 to R+13.5 | |
| TN-06Tennessee 6th district | R+21.6 | <1%>99% | R+29.5 to R+13.7 | |
| FL-26Florida 26th district | R+21.7 | <1%>99% | R+29.6 to R+13.8 | |
| MI-09Michigan 9th district | R+21.7 | <1%>99% | R+29.6 to R+13.8 | |
| OH-12Ohio 12th district | R+21.7 | <1%>99% | R+29.7 to R+13.9 | |
| TX-25Texas 25th district | R+21.8 | <1%>99% | R+29.6 to R+13.9 | |
| OK-04Oklahoma 4th district | R+21.8 | <1%>99% | R+29.7 to R+13.9 | |
| NM-01New Mexico 1st district | D+21.9 | >99%<1% | D+14.1 to D+29.8 | |
| OR-06Oregon 6th district | D+21.9 | >99%<1% | D+14.1 to D+29.9 | |
| IL-08Illinois 8th district | D+21.9 | >99%<1% | D+14.0 to D+29.8 | |
| TX-08Texas 8th district | R+22.1 | <1%>99% | R+30.0 to R+14.2 | |
| TX-14Texas 14th district | R+22.2 | <1%>99% | R+30.1 to R+14.3 | |
| IN-08Indiana 8th district | R+22.2 | <1%>99% | R+30.1 to R+14.3 | |
| ND-ALNorth Dakota at-large | R+22.4 | <1%>99% | R+30.3 to R+14.5 | |
| FL-12Florida 12th district | R+22.6 | <1%>99% | R+30.6 to R+14.7 | |
| GA-09Georgia 9th district | R+22.7 | <1%>99% | R+30.5 to R+14.7 | |
| CT-02Connecticut 2nd district | D+22.7 | >99%<1% | D+14.8 to D+30.6 | |
| KY-04Kentucky 4th district | R+22.9 | <1%>99% | R+30.8 to R+15.0 | |
| TX-36Texas 36th district | R+23.0 | <1%>99% | R+30.9 to R+15.1 | |
| IL-11Illinois 11th district | D+23.2 | >99%<1% | D+15.2 to D+31.1 | |
| TN-03Tennessee 3rd district | R+23.3 | <1%>99% | R+31.2 to R+15.4 | |
| NJ-11New Jersey 11th district | D+23.5 | >99%<1% | D+15.7 to D+31.4 | |
| MT-02Montana 2nd district | R+23.6 | <1%>99% | R+31.4 to R+15.6 | |
| MS-01Mississippi 1st district | R+23.6 | <1%>99% | R+31.5 to R+15.7 | |
| PA-06Pennsylvania 6th district | D+23.6 | >99%<1% | D+15.7 to D+31.6 | |
| IL-13Illinois 13th district | D+23.7 | >99%<1% | D+15.8 to D+31.6 | |
| MA-09Massachusetts 9th district | D+23.7 | >99%<1% | D+15.8 to D+31.6 | |
| CA-26California 26th district | D+23.8 | >99%<1% | D+16.0 to D+31.7 | |
| PA-09Pennsylvania 9th district | R+24.3 | <1%>99% | R+32.1 to R+16.4 | |
| WV-02West Virginia 2nd district | R+24.8 | <1%>99% | R+32.7 to R+16.9 | |
| OH-04Ohio 4th district | R+24.9 | <1%>99% | R+32.8 to R+17.1 | |
| NJ-06New Jersey 6th district | D+24.9 | >99%<1% | D+17.1 to D+32.8 | |
| CA-06California 6th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+25.2 | >99%<1% | D+17.3 to D+33.2 | |
| VA-06Virginia 6th district | R+25.4 | <1%>99% | R+33.3 to R+17.5 | |
| MA-01Massachusetts 1st district | D+25.5 | >99%<1% | D+17.6 to D+33.4 | |
| CO-07Colorado 7th district | D+25.8 | >99%<1% | D+18.0 to D+33.7 | |
| PA-15Pennsylvania 15th district | R+25.9 | <1%>99% | R+33.8 to R+17.9 | |
| CA-39California 39th district | D+25.9 | >99%<1% | D+18.0 to D+33.7 | |
| UT-01Utah 1st district | D+25.9 | >99%<1% | D+18.1 to D+33.8 | |
| AL-06Alabama 6th district | R+26.0 | <1%>99% | R+33.8 to R+18.1 | |
| IL-15Illinois 15th district | R+26.2 | <1%>99% | R+34.2 to R+18.4 | |
| WA-10Washington 10th district | D+26.5 | >99%<1% | D+18.6 to D+34.4 | |
| MO-06Missouri 6th district | R+26.8 | <1%>99% | R+34.7 to R+18.9 | |
| CA-33California 33rd district | D+26.9 | >99%<1% | D+19.0 to D+34.8 | |
| LA-06Louisiana 6th district | D+27.0 | >99%<1% | D+19.1 to D+34.9 | |
| CA-35California 35th district | D+27.1 | >99%<1% | D+19.2 to D+35.0 | |
| CA-38California 38th district | D+27.1 | >99%<1% | D+19.2 to D+35.0 | |
| TN-04Tennessee 4th district | R+27.2 | <1%>99% | R+35.2 to R+19.4 | |
| PA-12Pennsylvania 12th district | D+27.5 | >99%<1% | D+19.6 to D+35.4 | |
| DE-ALDelaware at-large | D+27.6 | >99%<1% | D+19.7 to D+35.5 | |
| WV-01West Virginia 1st district | R+27.6 | <1%>99% | R+35.5 to R+19.8 | |
| NY-20New York 20th district | D+27.7 | >99%<1% | D+19.8 to D+35.7 | |
| LA-05Louisiana 5th district | R+27.8 | <1%>99% | R+35.6 to R+19.9 | |
| NY-06New York 6th district | D+27.8 | >99%<1% | D+19.9 to D+35.7 | |
| SC-03South Carolina 3rd district | R+27.9 | <1%>99% | R+35.8 to R+20.0 | |
| WA-06Washington 6th district | D+28.0 | >99%<1% | D+20.1 to D+35.9 | |
| LA-01Louisiana 1st district | R+28.1 | <1%>99% | R+35.9 to R+20.1 | |
| CT-03Connecticut 3rd district | D+28.1 | >99%<1% | D+20.3 to D+36.0 | |
| MN-03Minnesota 3rd districtProjected Democratic flip | D+28.2 | >99%<1% | D+20.3 to D+36.1 | |
| NY-25New York 25th district | D+28.4 | >99%<1% | D+20.5 to D+36.3 | |
| MO-04Missouri 4th district | R+28.4 | <1%>99% | R+36.3 to R+20.6 | |
| AR-04Arkansas 4th district | R+28.5 | <1%>99% | R+36.4 to R+20.6 | |
| MI-11Michigan 11th district | D+28.5 | >99%<1% | D+20.6 to D+36.4 | |
| CA-31California 31st district | D+28.8 | >99%<1% | D+20.8 to D+36.7 | |
| TN-08Tennessee 8th district | R+29.0 | <1%>99% | R+36.9 to R+21.1 | |
| KY-02Kentucky 2nd district | R+29.2 | <1%>99% | R+37.1 to R+21.3 | |
| PA-04Pennsylvania 4th district | D+29.2 | >99%<1% | D+21.3 to D+37.1 | |
| TX-11Texas 11th district | R+29.6 | <1%>99% | R+37.5 to R+21.7 | |
| MD-02Maryland 2nd district | D+29.6 | >99%<1% | D+21.8 to D+37.6 | |
| MO-07Missouri 7th district | R+29.7 | <1%>99% | R+37.6 to R+21.8 | |
| VA-09Virginia 9th district | R+29.9 | <1%>99% | R+37.7 to R+22.0 | |
| ME-01Maine 1st district | D+29.9 | >99%<1% | D+22.1 to D+37.8 | |
| MS-04Mississippi 4th district | R+30.0 | <1%>99% | R+37.9 to R+22.1 | |
| TX-32Texas 32nd district | D+30.9 | >99%<1% | D+23.0 to D+38.9 | |
| IL-10Illinois 10th district | D+31.0 | >99%<1% | D+23.1 to D+38.9 | |
| IL-12Illinois 12th district | R+31.1 | <1%>99% | R+39.0 to R+23.1 | |
| AR-01Arkansas 1st district | R+31.2 | <1%>99% | R+39.1 to R+23.3 | |
| OH-02Ohio 2nd district | R+31.3 | <1%>99% | R+39.2 to R+23.3 | |
| NJ-01New Jersey 1st district | D+31.3 | >99%<1% | D+23.4 to D+39.2 | |
| WY-ALWyoming at-large | R+31.4 | <1%>99% | R+39.3 to R+23.5 | |
| OK-03Oklahoma 3rd district | R+31.4 | <1%>99% | R+39.3 to R+23.5 | |
| ID-01Idaho 1st district | R+31.5 | <1%>99% | R+39.4 to R+23.6 | |
| MS-02Mississippi 2nd district | D+31.6 | >99%<1% | D+23.6 to D+39.5 | |
| AL-03Alabama 3rd district | R+31.6 | <1%>99% | R+39.6 to R+23.7 | |
| LA-03Louisiana 3rd district | R+31.7 | <1%>99% | R+39.5 to R+23.8 | |
| KY-03Kentucky 3rd district | D+31.8 | >99%<1% | D+23.9 to D+39.7 | |
| CA-51California 51st district | D+31.9 | >99%<1% | D+24.0 to D+39.8 | |
| CO-06Colorado 6th district | D+32.0 | >99%<1% | D+24.1 to D+39.9 | |
| PA-13Pennsylvania 13th district | R+32.0 | <1%>99% | R+39.9 to R+24.1 | |
| TX-16Texas 16th district | D+32.1 | >99%<1% | D+24.2 to D+40.0 | |
| MA-03Massachusetts 3rd district | D+32.1 | >99%<1% | D+24.2 to D+40.0 | |
| MA-06Massachusetts 6th district | D+32.3 | >99%<1% | D+24.4 to D+40.2 | |
| MO-05Missouri 5th district | D+32.5 | >99%<1% | D+24.7 to D+40.4 | |
| RI-01Rhode Island 1st district | D+32.6 | >99%<1% | D+24.7 to D+40.4 | |
| KY-01Kentucky 1st district | R+32.6 | <1%>99% | R+40.5 to R+24.7 | |
| TX-07Texas 7th district | D+32.6 | >99%<1% | D+24.8 to D+40.5 | |
| FL-10Florida 10th district | D+32.7 | >99%<1% | D+24.8 to D+40.6 | |
| CA-46California 46th district | D+33.0 | >99%<1% | D+25.1 to D+40.9 | |
| MA-04Massachusetts 4th district | D+33.0 | >99%<1% | D+25.1 to D+40.9 | |
| MD-03Maryland 3rd district | D+33.1 | >99%<1% | D+25.1 to D+40.9 | |
| TX-13Texas 13th district | R+33.4 | <1%>99% | R+41.2 to R+25.4 | |
| MA-02Massachusetts 2nd district | D+33.8 | >99%<1% | D+25.9 to D+41.7 | |
| MI-06Michigan 6th district | D+33.9 | >99%<1% | D+26.0 to D+41.8 | |
| CT-04Connecticut 4th district | D+34.2 | >99%<1% | D+26.4 to D+42.2 | |
| TX-20Texas 20th district | D+34.2 | >99%<1% | D+26.4 to D+42.1 | |
| CA-24California 24th district | D+34.3 | >99%<1% | D+26.4 to D+42.3 | |
| SC-06South Carolina 6th district | D+34.6 | >99%<1% | D+26.7 to D+42.5 | |
| AL-07Alabama 7th district | D+34.6 | >99%<1% | D+26.7 to D+42.5 | |
| WA-02Washington 2nd district | D+34.9 | >99%<1% | D+27.0 to D+42.7 | |
| CT-01Connecticut 1st district | D+34.9 | >99%<1% | D+27.0 to D+42.9 | |
| NY-26New York 26th district | D+35.1 | >99%<1% | D+27.2 to D+43.0 | |
| AZ-07Arizona 7th district | D+35.4 | >99%<1% | D+27.5 to D+43.3 | |
| TX-19Texas 19th district | R+35.6 | <1%>99% | R+43.5 to R+27.7 | |
| HI-02Hawaii 2nd district | D+35.8 | >99%<1% | D+27.9 to D+43.7 | |
| NJ-12New Jersey 12th district | D+35.8 | >99%<1% | D+27.9 to D+43.7 | |
| LA-04Louisiana 4th district | R+36.0 | <1%>99% | R+43.9 to R+28.1 | |
| TX-01Texas 1st district | R+36.3 | <1%>99% | R+44.2 to R+28.4 | |
| TX-29Texas 29th district | D+36.4 | >99%<1% | D+28.5 to D+44.4 | |
| VT-ALVermont at-large | D+36.4 | >99%<1% | D+28.6 to D+44.4 | |
| CA-50California 50th district | D+36.9 | >99%<1% | D+29.0 to D+44.8 | |
| CA-28California 28th district | D+37.1 | >99%<1% | D+29.3 to D+45.0 | |
| OK-02Oklahoma 2nd district | R+37.8 | <1%>99% | R+45.7 to R+29.9 | |
| CA-52California 52nd district | D+37.8 | >99%<1% | D+29.9 to D+45.7 | |
| WA-01Washington 1st district | D+38.2 | >99%<1% | D+30.2 to D+46.0 | |
| NJ-08New Jersey 8th district | D+38.3 | >99%<1% | D+30.4 to D+46.2 | |
| AL-01Alabama 1st district | R+38.7 | <1%>99% | R+46.6 to R+30.8 | |
| MO-08Missouri 8th district | R+38.8 | <1%>99% | R+46.7 to R+30.9 | |
| PA-05Pennsylvania 5th district | D+39.2 | >99%<1% | D+31.4 to D+47.2 | |
| HI-01Hawaii 1st district | D+39.4 | >99%<1% | D+31.5 to D+47.4 | |
| CA-07California 7th district | D+39.9 | >99%<1% | D+32.0 to D+47.7 | |
| MA-08Massachusetts 8th district | D+39.9 | >99%<1% | D+32.0 to D+47.8 | |
| VA-04Virginia 4th district | D+40.3 | >99%<1% | D+32.4 to D+48.2 | |
| NC-02North Carolina 2nd district | D+40.6 | >99%<1% | D+32.8 to D+48.5 | |
| CA-18California 18th district | D+40.7 | >99%<1% | D+32.7 to D+48.6 | |
| NE-03Nebraska 3rd district | R+40.8 | <1%>99% | R+48.7 to R+32.9 | |
| TN-01Tennessee 1st district | R+41.0 | <1%>99% | R+49.0 to R+33.2 | |
| IL-01Illinois 1st district | D+41.6 | >99%<1% | D+33.7 to D+49.5 | |
| VA-11Virginia 11th district | D+42.4 | >99%<1% | D+34.5 to D+50.3 | |
| CA-04California 4th district | D+42.6 | >99%<1% | D+34.6 to D+50.5 | |
| CA-32California 32nd district | D+42.8 | >99%<1% | D+34.8 to D+50.6 | |
| IL-04Illinois 4th district | D+42.8 | >99%<1% | D+35.0 to D+50.7 | |
| CA-10California 10th district | D+43.3 | >99%<1% | D+35.4 to D+51.2 | |
| IL-03Illinois 3rd district | D+43.3 | >99%<1% | D+35.4 to D+51.2 | |
| NY-16New York 16th district | D+43.3 | >99%<1% | D+35.4 to D+51.2 | |
| MD-05Maryland 5th district | D+43.5 | >99%<1% | D+35.6 to D+51.4 | |
| MN-04Minnesota 4th district | D+43.7 | >99%<1% | D+35.8 to D+51.6 | |
| FL-24Florida 24th district | D+44.0 | >99%<1% | D+36.1 to D+51.9 | |
| IL-02Illinois 2nd district | D+44.1 | >99%<1% | D+36.2 to D+52.0 | |
| CA-42California 42nd district | D+44.2 | >99%<1% | D+36.3 to D+52.1 | |
| LA-02Louisiana 2nd district | D+44.2 | >99%<1% | D+36.3 to D+52.1 | |
| IL-05Illinois 5th district | D+44.4 | >99%<1% | D+36.5 to D+52.3 | |
| VA-03Virginia 3rd district | D+44.9 | >99%<1% | D+37.0 to D+52.7 | |
| CA-19California 19th district | D+45.1 | >99%<1% | D+37.2 to D+53.0 | |
| NY-14New York 14th district | D+45.1 | >99%<1% | D+37.2 to D+53.0 | |
| KY-05Kentucky 5th district | R+45.3 | <1%>99% | R+53.2 to R+37.4 | |
| CA-14California 14th district | D+45.8 | >99%<1% | D+37.9 to D+53.7 | |
| OR-01Oregon 1st district | D+46.4 | >99%<1% | D+38.5 to D+54.3 | |
| IN-07Indiana 7th district | D+46.5 | >99%<1% | D+38.6 to D+54.4 | |
| WI-02Wisconsin 2nd district | D+46.6 | >99%<1% | D+38.7 to D+54.5 | |
| PA-02Pennsylvania 2nd district | D+46.6 | >99%<1% | D+38.8 to D+54.5 | |
| CA-29California 29th district | D+46.8 | >99%<1% | D+38.9 to D+54.6 | |
| IL-09Illinois 9th district | D+46.8 | >99%<1% | D+38.9 to D+54.6 | |
| OH-03Ohio 3rd district | D+47.0 | >99%<1% | D+39.0 to D+54.8 | |
| CA-36California 36th district | D+47.4 | >99%<1% | D+39.5 to D+55.3 | |
| TX-33Texas 33rd district | D+47.7 | >99%<1% | D+39.8 to D+55.6 | |
| CA-17California 17th district | D+47.8 | >99%<1% | D+39.9 to D+55.6 | |
| CA-44California 44th district | D+47.8 | >99%<1% | D+39.8 to D+55.6 | |
| MI-12Michigan 12th district | D+47.8 | >99%<1% | D+39.9 to D+55.7 | |
| CA-30California 30th district | D+48.0 | >99%<1% | D+40.1 to D+55.9 | |
| FL-20Florida 20th district | D+48.2 | >99%<1% | D+40.3 to D+56.1 | |
| CO-02Colorado 2nd district | D+48.2 | >99%<1% | D+40.3 to D+56.1 | |
| TX-18Texas 18th district | D+48.2 | >99%<1% | D+40.3 to D+56.1 | |
| GA-06Georgia 6th district | D+48.5 | >99%<1% | D+40.6 to D+56.4 | |
| WA-09Washington 9th district | D+49.4 | >99%<1% | D+41.5 to D+57.4 | |
| MI-13Michigan 13th district | D+49.4 | >99%<1% | D+41.5 to D+57.3 | |
| AL-04Alabama 4th district | R+49.5 | <1%>99% | R+57.4 to R+41.6 | |
| AZ-03Arizona 3rd district | D+49.8 | >99%<1% | D+41.9 to D+57.7 | |
| OR-03Oregon 3rd district | D+49.9 | >99%<1% | D+42.0 to D+57.8 | |
| MA-05Massachusetts 5th district | D+51.1 | >99%<1% | D+43.2 to D+59.0 | |
| NC-12North Carolina 12th district | D+51.1 | >99%<1% | D+43.2 to D+59.1 | |
| NC-04North Carolina 4th district | D+51.2 | >99%<1% | D+43.3 to D+59.1 | |
| GA-13Georgia 13th district | D+52.2 | >99%<1% | D+44.3 to D+60.1 | |
| CA-02California 2nd district | D+52.8 | >99%<1% | D+44.9 to D+60.6 | |
| NY-07New York 7th district | D+53.0 | >99%<1% | D+45.1 to D+60.9 | |
| NY-05New York 5th district | D+53.1 | >99%<1% | D+45.2 to D+61.0 | |
| NY-08New York 8th district | D+53.2 | >99%<1% | D+45.3 to D+61.2 | |
| CA-08California 8th district | D+53.8 | >99%<1% | D+45.9 to D+61.6 | |
| NY-09New York 9th district | D+54.0 | >99%<1% | D+46.0 to D+61.9 | |
| CA-16California 16th district | D+54.2 | >99%<1% | D+46.3 to D+62.1 | |
| TX-30Texas 30th district | D+55.4 | >99%<1% | D+47.5 to D+63.3 | |
| VA-08Virginia 8th district | D+56.1 | >99%<1% | D+48.1 to D+64.0 | |
| WI-04Wisconsin 4th district | D+56.2 | >99%<1% | D+48.2 to D+64.1 | |
| TX-37Texas 37th district | D+56.3 | >99%<1% | D+48.4 to D+64.2 | |
| CA-15California 15th district | D+56.4 | >99%<1% | D+48.5 to D+64.3 | |
| MN-05Minnesota 5th districtProjected Democratic flip | D+57.3 | >99%<1% | D+49.5 to D+65.2 | |
| GA-04Georgia 4th district | D+57.4 | >99%<1% | D+49.5 to D+65.2 | |
| CA-34California 34th district | D+58.3 | >99%<1% | D+50.4 to D+66.3 | |
| CA-43California 43rd district | D+58.4 | >99%<1% | D+50.5 to D+66.3 | |
| NY-15New York 15th district | D+59.6 | >99%<1% | D+51.7 to D+67.5 | |
| MO-01Missouri 1st district | D+59.9 | >99%<1% | D+51.9 to D+67.8 | |
| OH-11Ohio 11th district | D+60.0 | >99%<1% | D+52.2 to D+67.9 | |
| NJ-10New Jersey 10th district | D+60.1 | >99%<1% | D+52.2 to D+68.0 | |
| CO-01Colorado 1st district | D+62.8 | >99%<1% | D+54.9 to D+70.7 | |
| MD-08Maryland 8th district | D+63.6 | >99%<1% | D+55.7 to D+71.5 | |
| MD-07Maryland 7th district | D+64.1 | >99%<1% | D+56.2 to D+72.0 | |
| NY-12New York 12th district | D+66.2 | >99%<1% | D+58.3 to D+74.0 | |
| CA-37California 37th district | D+66.4 | >99%<1% | D+58.6 to D+74.3 | |
| MA-07Massachusetts 7th district | D+66.9 | >99%<1% | D+59.0 to D+74.8 | |
| NY-13New York 13th district | D+69.0 | >99%<1% | D+61.1 to D+76.8 | |
| CA-11California 11th district | D+69.0 | >99%<1% | D+61.1 to D+77.0 | |
| NY-10New York 10th district | D+69.3 | >99%<1% | D+61.4 to D+77.2 | |
| IL-07Illinois 7th district | D+71.5 | >99%<1% | D+63.6 to D+79.3 | |
| GA-05Georgia 5th district | D+72.2 | >99%<1% | D+64.3 to D+80.1 | |
| WA-07Washington 7th district | D+75.3 | >99%<1% | D+67.4 to D+83.2 | |
| MD-04Maryland 4th district | D+75.5 | >99%<1% | D+67.6 to D+83.4 | |
| CA-12California 12th district | D+76.4 | >99%<1% | D+68.6 to D+84.3 | |
| PA-03Pennsylvania 3rd district | D+78.5 | >99%<1% | D+70.6 to D+86.4 |
No districts match these filters.