Download & Check Our Work

Our Consumer Sentiment Index, which is used in our election forecasts.

Updated August 20, 2025 at 02:14 PM

The latest

Data releases from the University of Michigan moved our index slightly down to -5.2. We are working on backtesting the CSI as far back as we possibly can to better contextualize the current values, and you can now switch between viewing the CSI over just Trump’s term or as far back as we have data.

About the dashboard

A positive value should indicate that Americans are confident in the economy and feel good about spending, while a negative value indicates consumer concerns.

Our aggregate index uses three independent indices and applies a weighted average to output a final value:
- The University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers CSI (Next Update - 8/29)
- The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Survey CCI (Next Update - 8/26)
- Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index (Next Update - Late August?..)