Madison Severe Weather Dashboard
Track the latest weather threats (and odds) for the Madison/Dane County area.
Page automatically refreshes every 10 minutes.
Updated August 20, 2025 at 02:44 PM
The NWS has no active advisories/watches/warnings. However, we are tracking the potential for severe weather today.
The latest
- The NWS/SPC convective model is forecasting a slight risk of severe storms for the Madison area.
- 🌪️ Chance of a tornado: 2%
- 💨 Chance of damaging winds: 15%
- 🧊 Chance of hail: <5%
Looking Ahead: The SPC is forecasting minor (non-severe) storms Tuesday. The AQI is expected to be good through Friday. There are no other major weather events currently expected.
Convective outlook
Where we expect storms - and how severe they might be.
Tornado forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating tornadoes.
Damaging winds forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating damaging winds/gusts ~55 mph or higher.
Hail forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating one-inch diameter hail or larger.
About the dashboard
- All data is from the National Weather Service, the Storm Prediction Center, RadarOmega, and The EPA’s AirNow.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) ranks the likelihood of severe weather in the following order of severity: High, Moderate, Enhanced, Slight, Marginal, & General Thunderstorms.
- AirNow’s Air Quality Index (AQI) rates air quality as Good (0-50), Moderate (51-100), Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (101-150), Unhealthy (151-200), Very Unhealthy (201-300), or Hazardous (301 & higher).