Weather • Severe
Madison Severe Weather Dashboard
Page automatically refreshes every 10 minutes. Updated April 15, 2026 at 05:21 PM
Status
We are tracking the potential for severe weather today.
The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch for Dane County through Thursday morning.
The latest
Today
- The SPC is forecasting a slight (2/5) risk of severe storms today.
- 🌪️ Chance of a tornado: 2%
- 💨 Chance of damaging winds: 15%
- 🧊 Chance of hail: 15% - L1 intensity hatched risk
Looking ahead
- The SPC is forecasting minor (non-severe) storms Thursday, and an enhanced risk of severe storms for Friday..
- The AQI is expected to be good through Monday.
- There are no other major weather events currently expected.
Convective outlook
Where we expect storms — and how severe they might be.
Tornado forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating tornadoes.
Damaging winds forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating damaging winds or gusts around 55 mph and higher.
Hail forecast
The likelihood of a storm system creating one-inch diameter hail or larger.
About the dashboard
Sources
- All data is from the National Weather Service, the Storm Prediction Center, RadarOmega, and the EPA’s AirNow.
How to read it
- The SPC ranks severe weather risk in this order: High, Moderate, Enhanced, Slight, Marginal, and General Thunderstorms.
- AirNow’s AQI rates air quality as Good (0–50), Moderate (51–100), Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (101–150), Unhealthy (151–200), Very Unhealthy (201–300), or Hazardous (301+).