2024 Senate Ratings
Forecasts & Predictions
Updated May 31, 2026 at 12:10 PM
These are the 2024 HenryDRiley.com ratings for the U.S. Senate elections. I use my own system of 5 "keys" (polling, fundraising, recent elections at both the senate and presidential levels, and expert forecasts) to rate each state up for grabs in this cycle.
My Senate ratings predict a Toss-up.
State Ratings
Ratings for each race based on my 5 "keys" system, explained more in the methodology. In case of a 50-50 tie, this uses our presidential ratings to determine which party wins Senate control.
Dems
49
1
GOP
50
Safe
Likely
Lean
Tilt
Safe
Likely
Lean
Tilt